Bitcoin, once the epitome of the cryptocurrency markets with its round-the-clock accessibility, is now facing a significant shift in its trading dynamics. The latest report by Kaiko sheds light on the dwindling weekend trading volumes of BTC, indicating a potential era dominated by institutional investors.
Kaiko’s data unveils a stark contrast in Bitcoin trading activity on weekends, showing a substantial drop from 28% in 2019 to a mere 16% in 2024. This decline coincides with the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US, which can only be traded during traditional market hours. The increasing influence of institutional investors, who favor these regulated products, is becoming more evident in shaping new trading patterns.
While ETFs play a significant role in the decline of weekend trading, the closure of crypto-friendly banks like Signature and Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 has also been a contributing factor. These banks provided essential 24/7 infrastructure for market makers to place orders continuously, resulting in weekend liquidity. With their absence, trading activity during weekends has dampened significantly.
Despite the evident decline in weekend trading, there are glimpses of hope for investors seeking stability in Bitcoin. The reduced volatility during weekends could make Bitcoin a more predictable asset, potentially attracting a new wave of institutional interest. Moreover, the historical trend suggests positive price movements in July, with seven out of the last 11 Julys witnessing price increases.
While the weekend trading arena may be witnessing a slowdown, the future seems to hold a mix of turbulence and stability for the crypto market. The potential approval of Ethereum ETFs could further drive institutional participation, potentially impacting Bitcoin’s dominance in the market. This shift towards institutional dominance signifies a paradigm change in Bitcoin trading, with the spotlight now on institutions shaping new trading patterns for greater stability. However, the coming months could bring significant volatility, keeping investors on edge amidst the evolving landscape.
The dynamics of Bitcoin trading are undergoing a significant transformation, with institutional investors playing a more prominent role in shaping the market. While the decline in weekend trading volumes may indicate a shift towards stability, the future remains unpredictable and eventful in the cryptocurrency landscape. Investors must remain vigilant and adaptive to navigate through the changing tides of Bitcoin trading.